What if This Time is Different?

What if This Time is Different?What if, before the world ever heard of coronavirus, every valuation multiple suggested the U.S. stock market was one of the most expensive in history? What if these valuations assumed – and required – continued economic growth, robust increases in company earnings, and sustained and substantial stock buybacks? What if […]

How GDP Metrics Distort Our View of the Economy

05/15/2015 Christopher P. Casey GDP purports to measure economic activity while largely divorcing itself from the quality, profitability, depth, breadth, improvement, advancement, and rationalization of goods and services provided. For example, even if a ship — built at great expense — cruised without passengers, fished without success, or ferried without cargo; it nevertheless contributed to […]

Should Investors Consider Cryptocurrencies?

Christopher P. Casey This article was originally published by Citywire RIA in March 2021 Absolutely! We have been writing about and advising clients on cryptocurrencies since 2014. Cryptocurrencies possess the breakthrough capabilities of blockchain peer- to-peer technology, namely: digitizing assets for better security, transparency, and transactional efficiency. No matter what the application, the underlying thesis […]

Fractional Reserve Airline Seats

This article was originally published by The Ludwig von Mises Institute of Canada on April 18, 2017 Every year, airlines deny thousands of passengers seats on flights due to overbooking. Airlines use sophisticated modeling to manage overbooking to maximize profits given the reality of passenger no- shows. Legally permissible under their “contract of carriage” with […]

Don’t Forget About the Trade War

Christopher P. Casey This article was originally published by the Mises Institute on February 27, 2020 Before coronavirus and impeachment, the Sino- American trade war stubbornly remained on the mainstream news circuit while largely governing the direction of financial markets. With each rumor of concession or tweet of condemnation, stocks gyrated and bonds jittered. Each […]

Donald Trump’s Whig is Showing

This article was originally published by the Mises Institute on March 21, 2017 On February 28th, while addressing a joint session of Congress, President Trump quoted Abraham Lincoln and praised his economic philosophy: The first Republican President, Abraham Lincoln, warned that the “abandonment of the protective policy by the American Government [will] produce want and […]

Adding Austrian Economics

In thinking about the title of this presentation, it occurred to me that some people may be uninterested. That is, attendees may feel they manage their own investments, and are therefore unthreatened by wealth managers ignorant of Austrian economics.

Velocity Lacks Veracity

Velocity is not a substitute for demand, but rather of volume. Lots of goods and services may transact at low prices just as they may trade at high prices.

Bitcoin or Gold?

This article was originally published by The Human Events Group on July 3, 2014 We have proposed a system for electronic transactions without relying on trust. – Satoshi Nakamoto, 20091 With this fairly mundane comment, the person or persons known as Satoshi Nakamoto (the jury is still be out) introduced bitcoin to the world. Since […]

Deflating the Deflation Myth

The fear of deflation serves as the theoretical justification of every inflationary action taken by the Federal Reserve and central banks around the world.

Our Economic Views

We are economic thought leaders following the free-market oriented Austrian economics, whereas most advisors follow Keynsian Economics and tout the merits of money printing and government intervention. Global central banks have printed tens of trillions of dollars out of thin air as global debts exploded. Yet most advisory firms act like this is just another “normal” investment environment and allocate capital the way they’ve always done so. In our opinion, this is not a normal environment and requires an acute understanding that the pillars of the world are now built on a mirage of bubbles with serious consequences for growing and protecting wealth.

In an attempt to offset continued economic weakness, governments are reacting with spending, debt issuance, and intervention in the economy on a scale without precedent in modern history. Although these policies may buy time, they cannot solve the underlying issues. Ultimately, governments will repay debt with their last remaining option – printing more money. As money floods the system, this will drive inflation higher despite continued weakness in the economy.

Under these circumstances, the current conventional model of a static bond and stock mix will fail. It will fail investors in realizing reasonable returns. It will fail investors in preserving their purchasing power after inflation. And it will fail investors in protecting their capital and securing their retirement.

The conventional experts do not foresee such risks. But these same experts missed the prior 2000 tech bubble and 2008 housing and stock bubble.  Today they are missing the bubble in government debt and the ramifications of unbridled money creation. WindRock understands these issues and positions clients to not only minimize their risk associated with these dangers, but to profit from them.